The market is at record highs on optimism about growth. Economic forecasters, meanwhile, see recession. Who is right?

There are plenty of small negatives which don't add up to a recession. Recession risk comes from the continued back-and-forth from the White House about what tariffs will be. Read more here.

Mark Zandi says the US economy is teetering at the edge of a recession as tariffs and immigration policy weigh on growth.

C onsumer prices rose 2.7% in July compared to a year ago, clocking in lower than economists expected and holding steady from ...

Economics textbooks insist that stock prices reflect the future stream of a company’s profits on any given day. For all the ...

From inflation to recession, we who cover the economy and business at NPR get asked about tariffs all the time. Here are some ...

"The mindset of the market is to embrace risk because that brings rewards rather than losses -- keep shrugging it off," Steve ...

President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff regime is generating so much revenue for the federal government that Washington ...

Forecasters nudge up growth and trim inflation estimates as tariffs prove lower and less costly than expected in April.

The causal pathways by which tariffs could cause a recession seem dormant. Trade policy turmoil is the new normal, and may not create as much economic damage as feared.

The dollar's surge since the U.S.-European Union trade deal seems a little counterintuitive at first glance, but the rally ...