The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

A data-driven briefing outlines the key indicators economists track to gauge a potential slowdown and why timing signals remain murky. It explains how an inverted yield curve and widening corporate ...

Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...

As the U.S. economy grapples with shifting trade policies and stock market volatility, concerns about a potential recession are growing. President Donald Trump's economic agenda, which includes ...

The yield curve will reveal the bond market's confidence in how the U.S. is handling monetary policy Financial markets are weighing the risk that U.S. interest rates now will be based on political ...

The yield on the 10-year note finished February 20, 2026, at 4.08%. The 2-year note ended at 3.48%, and the 30-year note ended at 4.72%. The latest Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey ...

Most economists still expect Australia to avoid a recession, but government debt costs are now at 15-year highs as bond ...

Two financial experts give their take on what spending habit changes might indicate that a recession is looming.