Oil prices see sustained surge
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"A sustained $10 increase in oil prices is expected to increase inflation by 0.4% and lower GDP by 0.4%": Apollo Global Management 's ( APO -4.34%) chief economist Torston Slok says oil is fueling U.S. stagflation fears, adding to the effect expected from import tariffs.
Although the U.S. is a net oil exporter, higher oil prices could increase inflation and lower economic growth.
Stock futures were mixed on Sunday as investors weighed the impact of the escalating Israel-Iran conflict that shows no signs of any potential off-ramps ahead. Oil prices jumped after Israel attack key areas of Iran’s energy infrastructure over the weekend,
Ansid Capital's Anurag Singh predicts stable oil prices between $60 and $90 for the next four years. He believes the US administration will maintain oil flow. Singh also addresses market concerns regarding geopolitical tensions.
An hour with a big fixed income manager is a discussion of the big issues. Expect volatility, he says – a bit of a tired line, although not an untrue one.
Pakistan's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged at 11 per cent on Monday, in line with expectations, as the conflict between Israel and Iran and volatile global oil prices added upside risks to inflation.
That’s the end of the cheapest petrol prices in the UK for four years” – Tony Redondo, Cosmos Currency Exchange
Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities risk pushing back the timeline for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as the US central bank waits to assess any potential impact on inflation, economists said.